Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
4:0
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.500.07
Total shots
229
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
154
Passes
88% (506/578)81% (289/357)
Long passes
49% (22/45)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)68% (70/103)
Crosses
33% (7/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.050.69
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
415
Tackles
41% (7/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6332
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.073.50
Goals prevented
0.07-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Ferrah I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Baouf I. ⚽,
  • 62', Verheijen T. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
  • 62', Amgar A. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
  • 63', van der Sande J. ↓, Balk R. ↑,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Rolke T. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
  • 72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
  • 76', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
  • 76', Rolke T. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Henstra I. ⚽, Binder N. (A),
  • 83', Galvez T. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
  • 83', Souren N. ↓, van der Heide W. ↑,
  • 83', Braken S. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
  • 83', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
75.9%		Draw
14.5%		MVV Maastricht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 16.4% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 15.8% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Cambuur - MVV Maastricht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.23 ↓
    (1.32)    		 6.39 ↑
    (5.69)    		 9.82 ↑
    (7.38)    		 7.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Cambuur - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Maastricht (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5.
    • Cambuur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maastricht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cambuur is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    09.05.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    12.01.2024 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 5:2
    02.11.2023 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:1
    Latest results of Cambuur
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0 ✺
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺
    30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0 ✺
    25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
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