Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (180/252) | 88% (534/609) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (180/252) | 88% (534/609) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 80% (153/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 12% (4/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Lundstram J. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Joseph K. ⚽,
- 45', Belloumi M. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Giles R. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Lundstram J. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
- 62', Gelhardt J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
- 62', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
- 62', Downs D. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 62', Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
- 63', Fellows T. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
- 70', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 0, McBurnie O. ⚽, Giles R. (A),
- 75', Azaz F. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 82', Lundstram J. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
- 82', Joseph K. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
- 83', Manning R. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 85', Destan E. 🟨,
- 85', Stephens J. 🟨,
- 87', Slater R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pandur I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Stewart R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
Chances of winning
Hull City
37.1% | Draw
28.3% | Southampton
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hull City's performance.Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southampton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southampton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hull City - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(3.5) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
3.05 ↑
(1.96) |
-2.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hull City - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hull City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2.
- Recent form of Hull has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- S`hampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- S`hampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Crooks M.
(Ankle Injury)
Furlong J.
(Health problems)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Millar L.
(Knee Injury)
Vaughan H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Welington
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hull: Tinsdale N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Edozie S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Southampton?
Hull City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Hull City?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Southampton were as follows:
20.02.2024
Southampton
-
Hull City
1:2
21.10.2023
Hull City
-
Southampton
1:2
Latest results of Hull City
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
