Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (155/255) | 76% (342/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (155/255) | 76% (342/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/67) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (60/112) | 55% (69/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.43 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Wheatley E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 45+1', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, McGeehan C. ⚽,
- 73', Hoskins S. (Pen),
- 73', 2 - 0, Hoskins S. ⚽,
- 74', Forss M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 74', Sheehan J. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
- 75', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 76', Fornah T. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 78', Wormleighton J. 🟨,
- 82', Simons X. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 84', Vale J. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 85', Wormleighton J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 86', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
20.5% | Draw
25.7% | Bolton Wanderers
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(3.91) |
3.66 ↑
(3.46) |
1.77 ↓
(1.94) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
- Northampton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bolton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: List E.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Northampton Town?
Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
28.01.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Northampton Town
3:1
01.10.2024
Northampton Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:4
10.02.2024
Northampton Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
21.10.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Northampton Town
2:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
