Result
03/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
56.5% | Draw
23.7% | Sturm Graz
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.65) |
3.96 ↓
(4.09) |
4.73 ↓
(4.8) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Salzburg is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz were as follows:
20.03.2026
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:1
09.11.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:1
20.09.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
09.05.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
4:2
13.04.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
