Result
0:1
25/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/389) | 73% (240/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/389) | 73% (240/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 59% (65/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Piris R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vegetti P. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 57', Gimenez G. 🟨,
- 58', Mosquera H. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 59', Franco F. 🟨,
- 64', Cabral R. 🟨,
- 66', Cabral R. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 66', Vera F. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 66', Gimenez G. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 67', Servian A. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Piris R. (A),
- 75', Servian A. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
- 79', Paredes C. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 80', Benitez J. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
26.3% | Draw
29.9% | Cerro Porteño
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(3.86) |
3.1 ↓
(3.54) |
2.11 ↑
(1.89) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0.
- Sportivo Ameliano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro Porteño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Porteño might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Cerro Porteño has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
20.09.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
12.07.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
21.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:0
21.09.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
01.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
