Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (362/438) | 83% (358/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (362/438) | 83% (358/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 61% (31/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 67% (79/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Klimowicz M. ⚽,
- 31', Iturbe J. 🟨,
- 36', Holan A. 🟨,
- 41', Aranda S. 🟨,
- 42', Dominguez C. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Cabral R. ⚽, Sanguina J. (A),
- 58', Aranda S. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
- 64', Klimowicz M. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
- 74', Sanguina J. ↓, Bruno L. ↑,
- 76', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 76', Viera W. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 83', Larralde V. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 83', Cabral R. ↓, Contrera A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
47.8% | Draw
29.3% | Sportivo Ameliano
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.71) |
3.16 ↓
(3.55) |
4.12 ↓
(4.86) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4.
- In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Ameliano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:11. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Cerro Porteño has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
25.02.2026
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
20.09.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
12.07.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
21.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:0
21.09.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
