Manisa FK vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League
Result
1:0
12/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 20
  • Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.601.85
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Passes
82% (380/461)82% (402/489)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.601.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.64
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
86
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1013
Passes
82% (380/461)82% (402/489)
Long passes
49% (28/57)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
64% (61/95)70% (73/105)
Crosses
17% (3/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.73
Throw ins
2322
Fouls
1310
Tackles
82% (9/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
1025
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
77
xGOT faced
1.641.04
Goals prevented
1.640.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kiprit M. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Lindseth J. (A),
  • 63', Ekincier B. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
  • 63', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
  • 71', Karapo A. 🟨,
  • 71', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
  • 71', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
  • 83', Benny ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
  • 84', Karapo A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
  • 89', Glumac T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Karakus V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Adekanye B. ↓, Sen A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
52.5%		Draw
24.8%		Umraniyespor
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.9% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.2% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Manisa FK - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (1.78)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.65)    		 4.08 ↑
    (3.83)    		 9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Umraniyespor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Manisa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Umraniyespor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manisa FK will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manisa FK will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
    • Manisa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Manisa is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 2:1
    10.05.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 0:1
    13.01.2025 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 0:3
    11.03.2024 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 3:2
    22.10.2023 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 3:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 0:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü 2:2
    13.12.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK 0:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Manisa FK - Vanspor 2:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Pendikspor - Manisa FK 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    28.12.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 3:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Adana Demirspor 5:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Vanspor - Umraniyespor 0:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Amed SK 3:4
    29.11.2025 Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1 ✺
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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