Result
02/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
40.7% | Draw
31.3% | Avaí
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América Mineiro - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.94) |
3.01 ↓
(3.15) |
3.36 ↓
(4.18) |
6.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- América MG could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Avaí?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against América Mineiro?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Avaí were as follows:
26.04.2025
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
3:0
11.10.2024
Avaí
-
América Mineiro
2:2
25.06.2024
América Mineiro
-
Avaí
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
