Result
0:2
14/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 16
- Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/459) | 82% (332/407) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/459) | 82% (332/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (79/118) | 63% (63/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Musaba A. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
- 57', Ntcham O. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽,
- 67', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 67', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 67', Kilinc E. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
- 75', Gonul S. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 75', Holse C. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 77', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Yildirim B. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
- 87', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
- 87', Shomurodov E. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
45.8% | Draw
27.6% | İstanbul Başakşehir
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Samsunspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for İstanbul Başakşehir aligns with the current prediction.
Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.06) |
3.41 ↓
(3.48) |
3.55 ↑
(3.49) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Samsunspor (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Başakşehir (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Başakşehir (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
- Samsunspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Samsunspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Yuksel C.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Sari Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Samsunspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
01.02.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Samsunspor
4:0
18.09.2024
Samsunspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
03.03.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Samsunspor
1:0
22.10.2023
Samsunspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:0
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
