Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (345/451) | 46% (76/164) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (345/451) | 46% (76/164) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 25% (18/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (123/191) | 33% (26/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Morales I. ⚽,
- 36', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pratto L. 🟨,
- 45+4', Contrera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Colidio F. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 48', Godoy J. 🟨,
- 54', Pratto L. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
- 61', Lencina S. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 61', Acosta T. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
- 66', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 67', Morales I. 🟨,
- 67', Morales I. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 75', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 77', Casco M. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 87', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
- 87', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
Chances of winning
River Plate
69% | Draw
21.9% | Sarmiento de Junín
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.46) |
4.35 ↑
(4.27) |
10.24 ↑
(6.6) |
5.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.
- Recent form of River Plate has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sarmiento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, River Plate has had a series of away games.
- In this match, River Plate is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G.
(Knee Injury)
Driussi S.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez P.
(Calf Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Perez E.
(Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Portillo J.
(Red Card)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Subiabre I.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Ardaiz J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Sarmiento de Junín?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against River Plate?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
05.04.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
River Plate
1:1
28.07.2024
River Plate
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
19.03.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
