Result
3:1
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/541) | 66% (194/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/541) | 66% (194/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/134) | 43% (32/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ness L. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Ness L. ⚽, Bennetts K. (A),
- 36', Smith M. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Davies T. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 46', Garner G. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
- 60', Biggins H. 🟨,
- 64', Grant C. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 1, Lloyd B. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
- 68', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 76', Sprangler S. 🟨,
- 77', Kamwa B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
- 84', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Luker J. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
- 88', Sprangler S. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 90+5', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Crole J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
59.9% | Draw
23.5% | Newport County
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Notts County - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.46) |
3.98 ↓
(4.1) |
5.61 ↓
(6.33) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 76.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Notts County has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Notts County is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jones J.
(Inactive)
Platt M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
Tangen H.
(Inactive)
Tsaroulla N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Jenkins L.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Newport County?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Notts County?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Newport County were as follows:
02.08.2025
Newport County
-
Notts County
1:1
29.03.2025
Newport County
-
Notts County
0:2
23.11.2024
Notts County
-
Newport County
0:0
13.02.2024
Newport County
-
Notts County
1:3
24.10.2023
Notts County
-
Newport County
3:0
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
