San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
813
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Long passes
56% (22/39)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)72% (116/161)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.80
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.441.63
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. , Alba J. (A),
  • 3', 1 - 1, Arango C. , Espinoza C. (A),
  • 31', Arango C. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Allende T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. , Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
  • 45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cremaschi B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 52', 3 - 3, Allende T. , Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Obando A. ,
  • 66', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 69', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 70', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Weigandt M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 74', Romney D. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 79', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 79', Pellegrino A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 81', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 81', Segovia T. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
24.8%
Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 25.3% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.54
    (2.35)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5%84.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Jose (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Jose (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)