Minnesota United vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.53
Total shots
810
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (196/250)90% (595/664)
Long passes
43% (16/37)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
59% (34/58)86% (248/290)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.32
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1010
Tackles
78% (14/18)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3312
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.532.09
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Harvey C. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 45', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Markanich A. , Romero N. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Messi L. , Alba J. (A), Allen N. (A2)
  • 49', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 49', Redondo Solari F. , Allende T. ,
  • 58', Diaz J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Weigandt M. (Own goal),
  • 70', 4 - 1, Lod R. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Romero N. (A2)
  • 71', Oluwaseyi T. , Jeong S. ,
  • 71', Hlongwane B. , Gressel J. ,
  • 76', Segovia T. , Aviles T. ,
  • 76', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 76', Bright Y. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 80', Lujan G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
41%
Draw
26.1%
Inter Miami
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Minnesota United - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.58)
    3.66
    (3.59)
    2.91
    (2.59)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Inter Miami (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minnesota United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Yeboah K. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)