Result
3:2 penalties
21/03/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (257/381) | 76% (307/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (257/381) | 76% (307/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/57) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (72/132) | 48% (31/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Higashiguchi M. (Own goal),
- 42', 1 - 2, Welton ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zahedi S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 46', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 46', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 56', Shigemi M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 59', Yamashita R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 60', Abe S. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 63', Yamawaki K. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 63', Nago S. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
- 72', Maeda K. 🟨,
- 81', Miki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Maeda K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Meshino R. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Tsujioka Y. ⚽, Ben Khalifa N. (A),
- Penalties (14 - 13)
- 1, Ben Khalifa N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Hummet D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kurata S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Handa R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Oka T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Miki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Meshino R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Maejima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Suzuki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Tashiro M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Miura G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Kishimoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Fujimoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Nakatani S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Obata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Mito R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Sani Brown A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Higashiguchi M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Ben Khalifa N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Hummet D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Kurata S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 14, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 14, Handa R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 15, Oka T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 15, Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
24.1% | Draw
28.6% | Gamba Osaka
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.05) |
3.28 ↑
(3.16) |
2.01 ↓
(2.42) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 50%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Gamba Osaka (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
- Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 2.24.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Gamba Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
30.11.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
22.02.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
24.08.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:2
03.05.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
11.11.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
