Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.84	0.10
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
14	2
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
79% (260/330)	84% (393/470)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.84	0.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.12
Total shots
14	2
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
5	0
Shots inside the box
8	1
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
18	2
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
12	20
Passes
79% (260/330)	84% (393/470)
Long passes
24% (9/38)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
75% (119/158)	55% (40/73)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.19
Throw ins
22	19
Fouls
20	12
Tackles
47% (7/15)	83% (5/6)
Duels won
46	39
Clearances
21	22
Interceptions
2	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.12	1.27
Goals prevented
0.12	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Arai I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sawada T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
53', Shindo R. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Miki T. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
65', Yamasaki R. ↓, Thiago ↑,
68', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
74', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
74', Shigemi M. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
85', Nago S. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
86', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
86', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
86', Arai I. ↓, Onaga H. ↑,
90+1', Nara T. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
37.7%

Draw
30.5%

V-Varen Nagasaki
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.46)	3.07 ↓ (3.26)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	6.8% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 50%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano (Knee Injury) Nagura T. (Illness)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Avispa Fukuoka?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:

15.03.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

05.04.2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka 3:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:2 ✺

15.03.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:5 ✺

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

05.04.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:3 ✺

21.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:1 ✺

18.03.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

15.03.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Gamba Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	14	10	1	2	1	23:10	34
2	FC Tokyo	14	8	3	2	1	29:13	32
3	Machida	13	5	4	2	2	21:20	25
4	Verdy	13	6	3	0	4	20:16	24
5	Kawasaki Frontale	14	5	2	1	6	20:25	20
6	Urawa Reds	14	5	0	3	6	20:19	18
7	Mito	14	2	4	4	4	21:28	18
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	14	5	0	1	8	21:26	16
9	Kashiwa Reysol	14	3	1	0	10	16:21	11
10	Chiba	14	2	0	3	9	13:26	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	13	7	1	3	2	23:18	26
2	Gamba Osaka	15	4	5	3	3	28:21	25
3	Nagoya Grampus	14	6	2	3	3	25:20	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	4	1	5	17:14	21
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	5	2	1	6	21:19	20
6	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	4	4	18:19	20
7	Okayama	14	4	2	4	4	18:24	20
8	Kyoto	13	4	3	1	5	20:18	19
9	Avispa Fukuoka	15	3	3	3	6	18:27	18
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	5	0	1	8	14:22	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)