Result
3:2 penalties
19/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/467) | 68% (184/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/467) | 68% (184/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 23% (14/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (96/146) | 55% (56/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 33', Oka T. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 2, Shigemi M. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
- 41', Shigemi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 46', Hara T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 64', Shigemi M. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 64', Maejima Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
- 64', Oka T. ↓, Nara T. ↑,
- 67', Nara T. 🟨,
- 69', Kitajima Y. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
- 71', Michiwaki Y. 🟨,
- 71', Koda H. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 79', Izumi R. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 79', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 82', Usui S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Asano Y. ⚽, Kimura Y. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Kimura Y. ⚽, Ono M. (A),
- 90+10', Takamine T. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tashiro M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Michiwaki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Sugiura S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Okuno K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kikuchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
48.8% | Draw
27.5% | Avispa Fukuoka
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(1.96) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
3.91 ↑
(3.69) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Inactive)
Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
07.03.2026
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:5
06.12.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
17.05.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
04.10.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
07.04.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
