Stevenage Borough vs Stockport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.191.52
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
27
Passes
52% (114/220)79% (403/511)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.45
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
03
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1412
Passes
52% (114/220)79% (403/511)
Long passes
22% (15/68)47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)69% (118/172)
Crosses
44% (4/9)22% (8/37)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.10
Throw ins
2947
Fouls
1214
Tackles
53% (10/19)57% (8/14)
Duels won
6961
Clearances
3831
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.451.57
Goals prevented
0.45-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Stokes J. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Piergianni C. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽, Reid J. (A),
  • 66', Diamond J. 🟨,
  • 68', Bailey O. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
  • 68', Edun T. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
  • 74', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
  • 75', Sidibeh A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
  • 76', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
  • 83', Hills B. 🟨,
  • 87', Phillips M. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
  • 87', Pye E. 🟨,
  • 88', Reid J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
  • 88', White H. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
33.5%		Draw
30.1%		Stockport County
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 29.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
    •

    Stevenage Borough - Stockport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.82 ↓
    (2.99)    		 3.1 ↓
    (3.17)    		 2.58 ↑
    (2.38)    		 6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Stockport County?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 47.7% – 95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Stevenage (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B. (Inactive) Edun T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Stockport County were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 1:3
    01.04.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 3:0
    14.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1
    18.02.2023 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 2:0
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    21.02.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺
    17.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺
    10.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Barnsley Postponed ✺
    07.02.2026 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Stockport County
    24.02.2026 Burton Albion - Stockport County 3:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Stockport County - Wigan Athletic 4:2 ✺
    17.02.2026 Bradford City - Stockport County 1:0 ✺
    10.02.2026 Port Vale - Stockport County 0:4 ✺
    07.02.2026 Stockport County - Leyton Orient 0:0 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Huddersfield351571355:46952
    7Reading341312950:44651
    8Stevenage331491037:35251
    9Wycombe3413111049:361350
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley311281153:53044
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter331181438:39-141
    16Mansfield3210101239:37240
    17Burton341091538:49-1139
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Northampton35981831:47-1635
    23Rotherham33971733:47-1434
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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