Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/340) | 68% (225/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/340) | 68% (225/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (31/89) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (100/182) | 50% (61/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 70 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Taylor J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Saydee C. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
- 68', Thompson L. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 79', Wright C. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
- 80', Taylor J. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 85', Pattenden J. ↓, James-Wildin L. ↑,
- 85', Roberts J. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 85', Phillips M. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 85', Earley S. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Sweeney D. ⚽,
- 90+3', Murray F. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
- 90+6', Kemp D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
62.1% | Draw
23.4% | Wigan Athletic
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.6) |
3.97 ↑
(3.72) |
6.68 ↑
(5.45) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Stevenage (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wigan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wigan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Stevenage is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Francois T.
(Inactive)
Hunt J.
(Injury)
Llyton C.
(Inactive)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Freestone L.
(Inactive)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Trevitt R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Wigan Athletic?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Stevenage Borough?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
29.11.2025
Wigan Athletic
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
18.01.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
24.09.2024
Wigan Athletic
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
27.01.2024
Wigan Athletic
-
Stevenage Borough
2:3
07.10.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Wigan Athletic
1:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
