Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 45
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (300/426) | 58% (146/251) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (300/426) | 58% (146/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (21/86) | 27% (20/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (79/145) | 52% (60/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽,
- 45+3', McGrath J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Grehan S. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
- 46', Lee E. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 46', Nixon T. ↓, Sterry J. ↑,
- 60', Earley S. 🟨,
- 67', Earley S. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Sharp B. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
- 72', Senior J. 🟨,
- 76', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 76', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 77', Robinson D. ↓, McCann B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
30.3% | Draw
29.7% | Stevenage Borough
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.55) |
3.14 ↓
(3.19) |
2.36 ↓
(2.74) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.
- Doncaster has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stevenage is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Doncaster: Molyneux L.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Sharp B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Freestone L.
(Inactive)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Stevenage Borough?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Doncaster Rovers?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
22.11.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Doncaster Rovers
0:0
18.04.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Doncaster Rovers
1:0
25.10.2022
Doncaster Rovers
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
