Result
1:2
01/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Sacra ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Sacra (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 2, Stankov I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia 35.4% | Draw 31% | SB Castelo Branco 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (2.5) |
2.92 ↓ (3.2) |
2.71 ↑ (2.5) |
10.2% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3).
- SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against SB Castelo Branco?
SC Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against SC Lusitânia?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
25.02.2024
SC Lusitânia
-
SB Castelo Branco
3:1
01.11.2023
SB Castelo Branco
-
SC Lusitânia
4:1
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation