Result
1:2
27/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (154/219) | 85% (365/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (154/219) | 85% (365/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (10/50) | 60% (26/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (9/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Prieto R. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
- 26', Valdez I. 🟥,
- 31', 1 - 1, Araujo S. ⚽, Riveros B. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Iturbe J. ⚽, Dominguez F. (A),
- 36', Araujo S. 🟨,
- 36', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
- 45+1', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Riveros B. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 56', Espinola C. 🟥,
- 58', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 61', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 61', Dominguez C. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 63', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 63', Bailone I. ↓, Benitez G. ↑,
- 67', Araujo S. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 81', Velazquez G. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 84', Caceres D. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 84', Prieto R. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 84', Amarilla L. 🟨,
- 90', Meza L. ↓, Sanabria T. ↑,
- 90+5', Maciel A. R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
28% | Draw
29% | Cerro Porteño
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.02) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
2.16 ↓
(2.3) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Cerro Porteño has had a series of home games.
- Cerro Porteño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
08.08.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
15.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
01.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
10.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:2
27.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Guarani | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 42:19 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 24 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
