Result
1:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (113/181) | 82% (377/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (113/181) | 82% (377/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 65% (100/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 52% (11/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (19/31) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
- 17', Mina R. 🟨,
- 18', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 25', Pereyra G. 🟥,
- 38', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Patino D. ↓, Spina A. L. ↑,
- 46', Medina J. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 46', Cornejo F. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 61', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 61', Pastran L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 61', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 67', Mina R. 🟨,
- 76', Minda K. ↓, Aimar D. ↑,
- 79', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 84', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 90+3', Quinonez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
33% | Draw
28.8% | LDU Quito
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
SD Aucas - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.09) |
3.34 ↑
(3.14) |
2.55 ↑
(2.3) |
4.2%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- In recent matches, Aucas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LDU Quito is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against LDU Quito?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against SD Aucas?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - LDU Quito were as follows:
18.04.2025
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
3:1
17.08.2024
SD Aucas
-
LDU Quito
0:1
16.03.2024
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
1:2
13.08.2023
SD Aucas
-
LDU Quito
0:0
04.03.2023
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
1:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
