Result
09/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
39.7% | Draw
28.8% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.32) |
3.17 ↓
(3.18) |
2.92 ↓
(2.95) |
8.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- Aucas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against SD Aucas?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
03.08.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
6:2
15.04.2025
SD Aucas
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
06.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
1:0
09.11.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
3:2
19.05.2024
SD Aucas
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Delfin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5:6 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Emelec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
