Independiente del Valle vs Orense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 6
  • Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.35
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
90% (466/520)74% (176/239)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.16
Total shots
207
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
132
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
90% (466/520)74% (176/239)
Long passes
62% (18/29)35% (18/51)
Passes in final third
81% (145/178)64% (37/58)
Crosses
14% (5/35)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.18
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1113
Tackles
80% (8/10)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4139
Clearances
1339
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.160.94
Goals prevented
0.160.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 33', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 42', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ortiz C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vasquez S. , Vinan B. ,
  • 55', Armas D. , Bermudez M. ,
  • 59', Achilier G. , Quinonez B. ,
  • 59', Hoyos M. , Briones R. ,
  • 59', Mendez J. , Alcivar J. ,
  • 74', Loor L. , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 74', Ortiz C. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 77', Silva R. 🟨,
  • 87', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 89', Fernandez M. , Santamaria T. ,
  • 89', Lerma J. , Ibarra R. ,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
66.7%
Draw
20.7%
Orense
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 18.8% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 17.8% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Orense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.31)
    4.46
    (4.85)
    7.42
    (7.95)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Orense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Orense (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%). Orense (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
    • Ind del Valle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Orense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Orense were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    16.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Orense 2:1
    27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    01.12.2024 Orense - Independiente del Valle 0:0
    02.06.2024 Independiente del Valle - Orense 1:0
    Latest results of Orense
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle641111:6513
    2Macara62405:2310
    3LDU Quito63127:6110
    4U. Catolica52306:249
    5Libertad62315:419
    6Barcelona SC62314:319
    7Tecnico U62226:608
    8Dep. Cuenca62225:508
    9Delfin62223:308
    10Aucas61327:8-16
    11Mushuc Runa61326:7-16
    12Guayaquil City61322:4-26
    13Orense61239:11-25
    14Emelec52125:504
    15Manta61142:6-44
    16Leones del Norte60422:7-54

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