Lincoln City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 13
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.75	0.00
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
13	2
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
25	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
66% (208/317)	71% (264/374)
Long passes
24% (19/80)	40% (31/78)
Passes in final third
44% (52/117)	45% (41/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.18
Throw-ins
26	33
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
31	44
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	1.75
Goals prevented
0.00	0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Campbell C. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
62', Lubala B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
72', Street R. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
76', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
76', Houghton J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
81', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90', House B. 🟨,
90', Roberts J. 🟨,
90+1', Ahadme G. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
39.9%

Draw
30.7%

Stevenage Borough
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.5%

30.4%

Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	5.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2% – 66.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O. (Foot Injury) Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Moylan J. (Ankle Injury) Parks C. (Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Stevenage Borough?

Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Lincoln City?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

04.01.2025 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

31.08.2024 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 0:1

02.03.2024 Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough 0:0

18.11.2023 Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

04.10.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 0:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

07.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bromley 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mansfield Town - Stevenage Borough 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40:23	17	47
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34:23	11	44
3	Bradford City	22	12	7	3	32:21	11	43
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33:29	4	38
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42:31	11	37
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30:21	9	37
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25:17	8	36
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33:28	5	35
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29:27	2	29
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29:28	1	29
11	Mansfield	22	8	5	9	28:28	0	29
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25:25	0	29
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29:30	-1	29
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26:28	-2	29
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32:32	0	28
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34:38	-4	28
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24:30	-6	28
18	Burton	22	7	6	9	23:29	-6	27
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22:28	-6	27
20	Exeter	22	8	2	12	22:21	1	26
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28:38	-10	26
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22:33	-11	24
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23:40	-17	22
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two