Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (163/258) | 66% (257/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (163/258) | 66% (257/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 32% (30/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (49/106) | 45% (71/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Thompson L. ⚽, Piergianni C. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Darikwa T. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
- 44', Bradley S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Phillips M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 56', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 62', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 62', House B. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 63', One R. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 78', Darikwa T. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
- 78', Towler R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 87', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 87', Reid J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Street R. ⚽,
- 90+5', Street R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Earley S. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
31.5% | Draw
30.5% | Lincoln City
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(3.15) |
3.07 ↑
(2.95) |
2.46 ↑
(2.31) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
- Stevenage is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lincoln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Phillips D.
(Red Card)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Freestone L.
(Inactive)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Lincoln City?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Stevenage Borough?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City were as follows:
18.10.2025
Lincoln City
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
04.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
31.08.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Lincoln City
0:1
02.03.2024
Lincoln City
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
18.11.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
