Result
2:2
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/524) | 85% (384/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/524) | 85% (384/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 73% (64/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Manning R. (Own goal),
- 28', Charles S. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Manning R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Matsuki K. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
- 57', Archer C. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
- 62', Downes F. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Bell S. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 71', Azaz F. ↓, Jander C. ↑,
- 71', Bree J. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 72', Bell S. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Stewart R. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
- 76', Pring C. 🟨,
- 80', Larin C. 🟨,
- 81', Horvat T. ↓, Dickie R. ↑,
- 87', Downes F. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
- 90+1', Morsy S. 🟨,
- 90+8', Dickie R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southampton
69.3% | Draw
19.1% | Bristol City
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Southampton - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.72) |
4.99 ↑
(3.85) |
8.12 ↑
(4.29) |
5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 98.13%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- S`hampton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, S`hampton is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: McCarthy A.
(Wrist Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Ankle Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol City: Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Bristol City?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Southampton?
Bristol City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Bristol City were as follows:
21.10.2025
Bristol City
-
Southampton
3:1
13.02.2024
Bristol City
-
Southampton
3:1
29.11.2023
Southampton
-
Bristol City
1:0
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
