Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Farmer A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
107
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Total shots
153
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
71
Corner kicks
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Howard L. , Hicks D. (A),
  • 30', Wahling J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Oguntolu J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Patton S. ,
  • 64', Gill T. , Tola M. ,
  • 64', Gordon I. , Perry J. ,
  • 64', Wahling J. , Stokes G. ,
  • 64', Smith K. , Jones J. ,
  • 69', Mintus M. 🟨,
  • 75', Robinson K. , Corry S. ,
  • 77', Mintus M. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Hicks D. ,
  • 84', Duah P. 🟨,
  • 84', Bowdery C. , Saint-Louis T. ,
  • 87', Duah P. , Harrison S. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Patton S. , Jones J. (A),
  • 90+4', Perry J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Howard L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Reading U21
52.6%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County U21
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 24% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 24.6% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Reading U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.05)
    4.13
    (3.79)
    3.64
    (2.87)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 24).
    • Reading U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Reading U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Derby U21 has had a series of home games.
    • Reading U21 might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Reading U21 - Derby County U21 0:1
    04.12.2023 Derby County U21 - Reading U21 5:1
    Latest results of Reading U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U21
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21