Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Jackson A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomCity+

Match Stats

Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
210
Shots on target
13
Corner kicks
221
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
210
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
17
Corner kicks
221

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Langas S. , Osong J. ,
  • 43', Braithwaite K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wahling J. , Hodges D. ,
  • 46', Johnston M. , Perry J. ,
  • 46', Gill K. , Green I. ,
  • 55', Oguntolu J. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Sangare M. , Warhurst M. ,
  • 62', Henderson-Hall M. , Nfonkeu B. ,
  • 72', Dada-Mascoll I. , Fapetu F. ,
  • 76', Perry J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Warhurst M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County U21
15.4%
Draw
20.2%
Manchester City U21
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 18.6% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 18% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.99
    (5.55)
    4.58
    (5.01)
    1.44
    (1.44)
    8.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 28 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Derby U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Man City U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Man City U21 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21 were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21 2:3
    28.10.2023 Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U21
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21