Result
3:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/326) | 82% (338/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 32 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/326) | 82% (338/414) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (24/58) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 59% (54/92) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
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| 19% (3/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
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| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 52% (11/21) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.88 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, van der Sande J. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Kaninda N. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
- 34', El Allachi C. 🟨,
- 35', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 42', Galvez T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Schoppema L. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jermoumi D. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
- 59', Kvam F. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 59', Apkakou E. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
- 62', Kwint K. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
- 62', Martens N. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 1, Hardeman J. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
- 69', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
- 70', El Allachi C. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
- 70', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 73', Amofa J. 🟨,
- 80', Galvez T. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
- 85', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
- 85', de Jong F. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 90', Marsman B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap 40.6% | Draw 24.9% | Cambuur 34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
De Graafschap - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↓ (2.47) |
3.75 ↓ (3.8) |
2.71 ↑ (2.37) |
6.8% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in De Graafschap: Niemeijer R.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Cambuur?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against De Graafschap?
Cambuur has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Cambuur were as follows:
11.10.2025
Cambuur
-
De Graafschap
2:0
28.03.2025
Cambuur
-
De Graafschap
3:2
13.12.2024
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
0:2
08.03.2024
Cambuur
-
De Graafschap
1:2
08.12.2023
De Graafschap
-
Cambuur
2:3
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )