Cambuur vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 12
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.92
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
89% (553/624)71% (179/252)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.84
Total shots
227
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
398
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
89% (553/624)71% (179/252)
Long passes
50% (22/44)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
87% (238/275)49% (24/49)
Crosses
15% (3/20)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.24
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1120
Tackles
80% (12/15)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5436
Clearances
1029
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.842.28
Goals prevented
0.840.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
  • 21', Raterink O. 🟨,
  • 32', El Kadiri I. 🟥,
  • 33', Diemers M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Marsman B. , Sjostrand O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Raterink O. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 46', Rijks M. , Boersma B. ,
  • 46', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 67', Gijselhart T. , de Jong F. ,
  • 68', Sjostrand O. , van der Veen Y. ,
  • 68', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
  • 73', Marsman B. , Jonker T. ,
  • 73', van der Sande J. , Visser K. ,
  • 82', Meerstadt J. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 82', Ferrah I. , Henstra I. ,
  • 82', Mulders R. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, van der Veen Y. ,
  • 90+1', Visser K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
48%
Draw
23.3%
De Graafschap
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 22.8% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 21.8% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Cambuur - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.87)
    4.04
    (4.13)
    3.28
    (3.52)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Cambuur - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 60.6%97.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambuur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 3.
    • Cambuur has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • De Graafschap is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cambuur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cambuur: Baouf I. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:36. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - De Graafschap were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 3:2
    13.12.2024 De Graafschap - Cambuur 0:2
    08.03.2024 Cambuur - De Graafschap 1:2
    08.12.2023 De Graafschap - Cambuur 2:3
    Latest results of Cambuur
    03.10.2025 Cambuur - Emmen 3:2
    29.09.2025 Roda - Cambuur 1:1
    26.09.2025 Cambuur - Jong PSV 5:3
    22.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Cambuur 2:4
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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