Result
3:4
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 33
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (477/554) | 63% (151/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (477/554) | 63% (151/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (36/63) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (138/189) | 37% (22/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 3.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.61 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Hartog J. ⚽, Andersen F. E. (A),
- 11', Souren N. 🟨,
- 13', Boogaard K. 🟨,
- 31', Mulders R. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Henstra I. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Robbemond R. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Zwart J. ⚽, Natali A. (A),
- 62', Henstra I. ↓, Ferrah I. ↑,
- 62', Diemers M. ↓, Apkakou E. ↑,
- 68', Oerip J. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 70', Galvez T. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
- 71', Souren N. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
- 75', van den Ban Y. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 2, Ferrah I. ⚽,
- 79', Mulders R. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
- 79', Boogaard K. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Ferrah I. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
- 85', Twisk N. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 86', Balk R. 🟥,
- 87', 3 - 3, van den Ban Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Baouf I. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. ⚽, Hartog J. (A),
Chances of winning
Cambuur 62.9% | Draw 19.4% | Jong AZ Alkmaar 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↑ (1.48) |
4.78 ↓ (4.88) |
5.25 ↑ (5.21) |
7.2% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.
- Cambuur has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jong AZ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kwakman D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Cambuur has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Cambuur?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
25.08.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Cambuur
0:1
20.12.2024
Cambuur
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:2
01.11.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Cambuur
2:3
15.03.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Cambuur
2:0
15.12.2023
Cambuur
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2
Latest results of Cambuur
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )