Result
0:2
28/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (347/446) | 82% (369/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (347/446) | 82% (369/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (97/152) | 66% (60/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.20 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, El Allachi C. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Twigt C. 🟨,
- 61', El Allachi C. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Simons J. ⚽,
- 71', Baartmans S. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 71', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 79', Twigt C. 🟨,
- 81', Kaninda N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 81', Eggens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 82', Doodeman N. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
- 83', Schoppema L. 🟨,
- 86', Gijselhart T. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
- 86', Schoppema L. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Willem II
40.6% | Draw
24.7% | De Graafschap
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Willem II - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.19) |
3.78 ↓
(3.9) |
2.69 ↓
(2.72) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
- Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
Tjoe a On N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against De Graafschap?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Willem II?
De Graafschap has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - De Graafschap were as follows:
12.09.2025
De Graafschap
-
Willem II
1:1
09.02.2024
De Graafschap
-
Willem II
0:2
06.10.2023
Willem II
-
De Graafschap
4:2
16.12.2022
De Graafschap
-
Willem II
0:3
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
