Result
2:3
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 27
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | Celtic TV, Kilmarnock TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (193/296) | 86% (404/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 4.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (193/296) | 86% (404/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (35/88) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 74% (121/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.35 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.35 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, John-Jules T. ⚽, Hugill J. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Hugill J. ⚽, John-Jules T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Hatate R. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
- 46', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
- 46', Adamu J. ↓, Cvancara T. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Tounekti S. ⚽, Tierney K. (A),
- 62', Maeda D. ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
- 63', Curtis F. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Nygren B. ⚽,
- 67', Watson D. 🟨,
- 70', Cvancara T. 🟨,
- 74', McGregor C. 🟨,
- 78', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 79', Watson D. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 79', Kiltie G. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 79', Hugill J. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 82', John-Jules T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Araujo J. ⚽,
- 90+8', Araujo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
12.9% | Draw
17.7% | Celtic
69.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kilmarnock - Celtic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.37 ↓
(8.7) |
5.33 ↑
(5.17) |
1.36 ↑
(1.33) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Celtic?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Celtic (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 0.
- Recent performances by Kilmarnock have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnston A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Celtic: Engels A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 12:55. (average 0.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Celtic?
Kilmarnock has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Kilmarnock?
Celtic has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Celtic were as follows:
09.11.2025
Celtic
-
Kilmarnock
4:0
14.09.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Celtic
1:2
12.04.2025
Celtic
-
Kilmarnock
5:1
18.01.2025
Celtic
-
Kilmarnock
2:1
10.11.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Celtic
0:2
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
