Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (133/214) | 85% (530/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 58 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (133/214) | 85% (530/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (11/51) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (67/115) | 75% (168/223) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 37% (16/43) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 3.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Toivonen E. ↓, Enqvist D. ↑,
- 45', Savolainen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muskwe A. ↓, Olawale M. ↑,
- 62', Armah B. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 63', Hamalainen N. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 68', Cardoso H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 75', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Okereke E. ⚽, Kujasalo N. (A),
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
17.2% | Draw
21.8% | KuPS Kuopio
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3%)
IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.52 ↓
(6.1) |
4.33 ↑
(4.3) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). KuPS will win (votes: 17 - 81%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 64.2% – 97.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
- Mariehamn is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KuPS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, KuPS is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KuPS: Arifi D.
(International duty)
Miettinen S.
(International duty)
Pasanen S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against KuPS Kuopio?
IFK Mariehamn has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against IFK Mariehamn?
KuPS Kuopio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
23.04.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
IFK Mariehamn
4:1
25.08.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
IFK Mariehamn
3:0
16.06.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:3
13.04.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:2
05.07.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
KuPS Kuopio
2:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
