Result
1:2
03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 14
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/339) | 79% (319/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/339) | 79% (319/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (68/97) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Bobcek T. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Capita ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
- 41', Lopes V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Wolski R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 58', Lopes V. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 66', Cirkovic A. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 66', Kapic R. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 69', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
- 69', Camara I. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 72', Capita 🟨,
- 76', Donis C. 🟨,
- 80', Capita ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 81', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Viunnyk B. ⚽, Kurminowski D. (A),
- 90+6', Vojtko M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
45% | Draw
26.8% | Radomiak Radom
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radomiak Radom might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radomiak Radom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.29) |
3.48 ↑
(3.21) |
3.29 ↑
(2.68) |
7.4%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
- Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Radomiak: Tapsoba A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Radomiak Radom?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
14.03.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
14.09.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
25.02.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Radomiak Radom
1:3
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
