Result
2:1
13/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/346) | 76% (375/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/346) | 76% (375/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/121) | 61% (74/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Widmer S. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
- 34', Veratschnig N. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 45', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Amiri N. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),
- 54', Pieringer M. 🟨,
- 59', Kaufmann M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 59', Pieringer M. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
- 59', Sieb A. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽,
- 75', Niehues J. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
- 77', Gimber B. 🟨,
- 82', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
- 88', Schmidt F. 🟨,
- 90', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90', Tietz P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 90+4', Widmer S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
52.7% | Draw
25.6% | Heidenheim
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mainz - Heidenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.71) |
3.69 ↑
(3.64) |
4.43 ↓
(5) |
5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mainz - Heidenheim?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 34 - 68%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 55.1% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Heidenheim (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mainz (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Mainz (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Mainz (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Heidenheim (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Heidenheim (votes: 9 - 31%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Mainz is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Mwene P.
(Muscle Injury)
Silas
(Ankle Injury)
Weiper N.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Behrens H.
(Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
Zivzivadze B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Injury)
Leitsch M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Heidenheim?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Mainz?
Heidenheim has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Heidenheim were as follows:
16.02.2025
Heidenheim
-
Mainz
0:2
28.09.2024
Mainz
-
Heidenheim
0:2
05.05.2024
Heidenheim
-
Mainz
1:1
16.12.2023
Mainz
-
Heidenheim
0:1
Latest results of Heidenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
