Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 2
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.46
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
67% (223/331)	66% (176/267)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	0.29
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
30	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
19	13
Passes
67% (223/331)	66% (176/267)
Long passes
32% (26/81)	34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
56% (80/144)	48% (41/85)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.67
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
13	19
Tackles
100% (13/13)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
73	70
Clearances
35	46
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.29	1.12
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hutchinson R. ⚽, March J. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, March J. (A),
35', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pye L. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
46', Grant C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
73', Brown C. 🟨,
76', Rawson F. 🟨,
77', Sanders M. H. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
80', Agius C. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
82', Caton C. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
82', Woods J. ↓, Popoola A. ↑,
87', Thomas C. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
87', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
48.8%

Draw
27.8%

Accrington Stanley
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Accrington Stanley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	3.96 ↑ (3.28)	6.6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Crewe could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Accrington Stanley?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Crewe Alexandra?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

25.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 0:1

14.09.2024 Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra 0:1

06.04.2024 Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra 0:0

16.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 3:3

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

02.08.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Southport - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City 4:0 ✺

15.07.2025 Radcliffe - Crewe Alexandra 1:5 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

05.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Accrington Stanley - Rotherham United 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Accrington Stanley - Wigan Athletic 2:4 ✺

15.07.2025 Accrington Stanley - Everton 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League