Houston Dynamo vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaRDS App, TSN 2
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.54
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
86% (459/533)81% (262/322)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.221.17
Total shots
188
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
86% (459/533)81% (262/322)
Long passes
58% (23/40)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
73% (121/166)61% (57/93)
Crosses
25% (8/32)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.84
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1315
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5542
Clearances
740
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.170.22
Goals prevented
-1.83-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Owusu P. , Clark C. (A), Pearce T. (A2)
  • 32', 0 - 2, Owusu P. , Guboglo Y. (A), Loturi V. (A2)
  • 40', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Awodesu F. , Escobar F. ,
  • 48', Ortiz P. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Neal J. , Pearce T. (A),
  • 60', Bassi A. , Ennali L. ,
  • 60', Kowalczyk S. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Lingr O. , Lodeiro N. (A),
  • 68', Campbell G. 🟨,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Craig B. ,
  • 74', Bugaj D. 🟨,
  • 78', Junior Urso , Holmes D. ,
  • 78', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 90+2', Piette S. , Opoku K. ,
  • 90+2', Guboglo Y. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 90+8', Holmes D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
55.7%
Draw
24.5%
CF Montréal
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 22.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 22.6% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.59)
    3.91
    (4.12)
    4.8
    (5.36)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Montreal (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Houston Dynamo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
    • Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montreal has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Escobar O. (International duty) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Red Card) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Loturi V. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Houston won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal were as follows:
    04.10.2023 CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo 1:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

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