Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/428) | 91% (466/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/428) | 91% (466/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 62% (16/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (55/85) | 83% (111/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Nelson J. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
- 27', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
- 40', Nelson J. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 45+1', Artur 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. ⚽, Rosales J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Resch A. ↓, Antonio Carlos ↑,
- 55', Vines S. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
- 55', Artur ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
- 59', Rosales J. 🟨,
- 65', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 66', Ramirez C. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 70', Desler M. 🟨,
- 72', Torres F. 🟨,
- 75', Herrera H. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 80', Ennali L. 🟨,
- 82', Felipe Andrade ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
- 83', Guilherme Biro ↓, Bell J. ↑,
- 84', Torres F. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Austin FC
34.9% | Draw
27.8% | Houston Dynamo
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.19) |
3.42 ↑
(3.42) |
2.56 ↓
(3.08) |
5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Houston will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
- Austin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Houston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Houston Dynamo?
Austin FC has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Austin FC?
Houston Dynamo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
09.08.2025
Austin FC
-
Houston Dynamo
2:2
21.05.2025
Austin FC
-
Houston Dynamo
3:1
26.04.2025
Houston Dynamo
-
Austin FC
2:0
21.09.2024
Austin FC
-
Houston Dynamo
0:1
15.05.2024
Austin FC
-
Houston Dynamo
1:0
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
