Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.71
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (393/490)75% (328/439)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.95
Total shots
86
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
99
Passes
80% (393/490)75% (328/439)
Long passes
45% (39/86)35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
72% (115/159)57% (76/134)
Crosses
5% (1/20)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.66
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
99
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1516
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.950.48
Goals prevented
0.95-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Luis Felipe ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Rebollar A. ⚽, Scott T. (A),
  • 73', Bennett K. 🟨,
  • 77', Djedje R. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
  • 80', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 85', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
  • 85', Benitez M. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
  • 87', Gnaulati X. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
  • 90', Klein J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gurr J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Campuzano N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Rebollar A. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
25.8%		Draw
29.1%		Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 28.7% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 28.4% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sacramento Republic aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.61 ↑
    (3.51)    		 3.2 ↓
    (3.26)    		 2.07 ↓
    (2.1)    		 7.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.
    • Monterey Bay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0
    09.10.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:2
    08.06.2024 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    07.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 2:0
    05.08.2023 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1
    13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4
    06.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay 2:1
    30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0
    23.08.2025 Monterey Bay - San Antonio 0:0
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    20.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    13.09.2025 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:2
    10.09.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

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