Result
3:1
19/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Parris K. ⚽,
- 34', Parris K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 59', Vasquez R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 59', Murata M. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 68', Jankovic A. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Simic V. ⚽,
- 74', Ramalingom A. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 74', Senhadji R. ↓, Haqverdi H. ↑,
- 84', Isayev A. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
- 84', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 84', Simic V. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
- 86', Mickels J. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Simon N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sabah
70.2% | Draw
19.4% | Sumgayit
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumgayit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumgayit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sabah - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.57) |
4.69 ↑
(3.63) |
8.76 ↑
(5.2) |
9.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sabah - Sumgayit?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sabah will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.
- Sabah is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sumgayit has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sabah is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:14. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Sumgayit?
Sabah has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Sabah?
Sumgayit has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Sumgayit were as follows:
22.12.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
1:3
28.09.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
1:1
29.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
3:3
27.02.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
0:4
05.02.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
0:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
