Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/378) | 71% (216/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/378) | 71% (216/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (29/77) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/119) | 49% (45/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 55', Broadbent G. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
- 56', Senior J. 🟨,
- 66', Seddon S. 🟨,
- 67', Stevens M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 68', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 72', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 73', Gotts R. 🟨,
- 78', Adelakun H. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 78', Clifton H. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 85', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 87', Nkeng R. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 90', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Browne M. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
- 90+9', 0 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽, Sterry J. (A),
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
35.5% | Draw
28.3% | Doncaster Rovers
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The chances for Doncaster Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.58) |
3.28 ↓
(3.38) |
2.58
(2.58) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Wimbledon will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
- Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Doncaster is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Doncaster: Close B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Grehan S.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Doncaster Rovers?
AFC Wimbledon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against AFC Wimbledon?
Doncaster Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
20.09.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:2
12.04.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:1
14.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Doncaster Rovers
1:0
24.02.2024
Doncaster Rovers
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
11.11.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Doncaster Rovers
2:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
