Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Tejon M. ⚽,
- 28', lano Imbene 🟨,
- 33', Madsen N. 🟨,
- 40', Kebe I. 🟥,
- 44', 1 - 1, Reko (Pen),
- 45', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Negrao G. ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
- 46', lano Imbene ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
- 52', Butzke A. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 1, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Butzke A. (A),
- 64', Alcaina R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 70', Butzke A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 81', Igor Juliao 🟨,
- 81', Davo ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 81', Santos A. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
- 84', Carlos Daniel ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
- 85', Igor Juliao ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
- 85', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
- 89', Gomes Aguiar F. T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Suker H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marítimo
61% | Draw
23.5% | Penafiel
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Marítimo - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.6) |
3.96 ↑
(3.9) |
5.95 ↑
(5.29) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Penafiel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marítimo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Penafiel?
Marítimo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Marítimo?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Penafiel were as follows:
29.03.2025
Penafiel
-
Marítimo
0:1
02.11.2024
Marítimo
-
Penafiel
1:2
05.05.2024
Penafiel
-
Marítimo
0:1
23.12.2023
Marítimo
-
Penafiel
0:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
