Result
0:2
30/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Jankovic A. ⚽,
- 28', Abdullayev A. 🟨,
- 30', Rustamli R. ↓, Yunuszada E. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 2, Vasquez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Goncalves Mateus P. L. ↓, Ibrahimov K. ↑,
- 46', Abdullayev A. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 46', Doyeni O. ↓, Turabov E. ↑,
- 46', Simon N. ↓, Kehat R. ↑,
- 60', Yunuszada E. 🟨,
- 65', Vasquez R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 65', Jankovic A. ↓, Orujali N. ↑,
- 75', Mickels J. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
- 77', Keffel 🟨,
- 77', Ninkovic N. ↓, Murata M. ↑,
- 81', Kehat R. 🟨,
- 84', Keffel ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karvan
24.8% | Draw
28.6% | Sumgayit
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Karvan - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(4.4) |
3.19 ↑
(3.18) |
1.95 ↑
(1.8) |
9.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Karvan - Sumgayit?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Karvan (2.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Karvan (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sumgayit will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Karvan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sumgayit (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Karvan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sumgayit is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Sumgayit?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Karvan?
Sumgayit has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Sumgayit were as follows:
18.10.2025
Sumgayit
-
Karvan
4:1
18.12.2023
Sumgayit
-
Karvan
3:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
