Sumgayit vs Karvan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Sumgayit - Karvan
Result
4:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
165
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
104
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Turabov E. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Vasquez R. , Kehat R. (A),
  • 20', Doyeni O. , Ahmadov S. ,
  • 25', Keffel 🟨,
  • 26', Jankovic A. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Mickels J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Rustamli R. , Abdullazada S. ,
  • 46', Kings P. , Durrant S. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
  • 58', Barker I. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Jankovic A. ,
  • 61', Murata M. , Ahmadzada R. ,
  • 61', Orujov N. , Moumini A. ,
  • 65', 4 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
  • 68', Turabov E. , Yunuszada E. ,
  • 70', Ramalingom A. , Ninkovic N. ,
  • 70', Jankovic A. , Ahmadzada N. ,
  • 76', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
  • 78', Mickels J. , Cahangirov U. ,
  • 78', Qadirzada I. , Spence K. C. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sumgayit
61.8%
Draw
24.7%
Karvan
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 17.7% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumgayit that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sumgayit - Karvan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.52)
    3.74
    (3.86)
    6.8
    (5.68)
    8.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Sumgayit is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Karvan has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sumgayit is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Karvan were as follows:
    18.12.2023 Sumgayit - Karvan 3:1
    Latest results of Sumgayit
    04.10.2025 Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz 0:3
    28.09.2025 Sabah - Sumgayit 1:1
    21.09.2025 Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    13.09.2025 İmişli - Sumgayit 1:0
    29.08.2025 Sumgayit - Shamakhi 1:1
    Latest results of Karvan
    05.10.2025 Karvan - Sabah 0:2
    27.09.2025 Neftchi Baku - Karvan 0:0
    19.09.2025 Karvan - İmişli 0:3
    14.09.2025 Shamakhi - Karvan 3:0
    31.08.2025 Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam 0:2
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turan Tovuz960313:7618
    2Qarabag751113:31016
    3Zira944115:10516
    4Araz944114:13116
    5Sabah Baku843112:5715
    6Sumqayit942313:9414
    7Neftci Baku92619:6312
    8Imisli FK933310:9112
    9Shamakhi823310:11-19
    10Gabala91268:13-55
    11Karvan91266:19-135
    12Kapaz91086:24-183

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