Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (147/173) | 76% (100/132) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (147/173) | 76% (100/132) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 43% (10/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (51/66) | 53% (21/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Alzugaray L. (Pen),
- 40', Cevallos J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Estrada M. (Pen),
- 55', Cueva C. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 59', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
- 61', Estrada M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 64', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 72', Ade R. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 0, Cornejo F. ⚽,
- 79', Alvarado A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 80', Medina J. 🟨,
- 80', Cornejo F. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 84', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 84', Meli M. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 84', Cevallos J. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 87', Alzugaray L. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 87', Gruezo C. ↓, Erique Villigua Y. H. ↑,
- 90+2', Garces R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
61.1% | Draw
23.7% | Emelec
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
LDU Quito - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.58) |
3.91 ↑
(3.83) |
6.02 ↑
(5.45) |
8.5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Emelec?
LDU Quito has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against LDU Quito?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Emelec were as follows:
03.11.2024
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
0:1
11.05.2024
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
2:2
23.10.2023
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
1:0
14.05.2023
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
1:1
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
