Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (274/406) | 61% (203/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (274/406) | 61% (203/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (35/101) | 24% (20/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (96/165) | 55% (59/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.59 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Adomah A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Hancock M. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jackson B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 55', Whitfield B. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 67', Anderson J. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Hancock M. ⚽,
- 72', MacDonald A. ↓, Raglan C. ↑,
- 73', Rose D. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
- 73', Okeke J. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
- 78', Fletcher I. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 82', Kanu D. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
- 82', Adomah A. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Malcolm J. ⚽, Hemmings K. (A),
- 89', Comley B. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 90', Farquharson P. ↓, Burke H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow
36.6% | Draw
30.1% | Walsall
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walsall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barrow - Walsall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.87) |
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
2.82 ↑
(2.33) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Walsall?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Walsall will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Walsall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Canavan N.
(Inactive)
Earing J.
(Inactive)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Walsall: Chang A.
(Inactive)
Matt J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Walsall?
Barrow has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Barrow?
Walsall has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Walsall were as follows:
18.10.2025
Walsall
-
Barrow
1:2
12.04.2025
Barrow
-
Walsall
2:0
14.12.2024
Walsall
-
Barrow
1:0
12.03.2024
Walsall
-
Barrow
1:1
28.11.2023
Barrow
-
Walsall
2:0
Latest results of Walsall
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
