Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:3
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.450.76
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
42
Passes
80% (284/355)82% (321/390)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
0.450.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.51
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1112
Passes
80% (284/355)82% (321/390)
Long passes
49% (21/43)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
70% (66/94)65% (62/95)
Crosses
15% (3/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.43
Throw ins
1611
Fouls
1211
Tackles
53% (10/19)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4634
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.511.06
Goals prevented
-1.49-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
  • 14', Macagno R. ↓, Bolcato N. ↑,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
  • 33', Max A. 🟨,
  • 36', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Bonifacio E. (A),
  • 45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rios G. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
  • 50', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 54', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 60', Aguiar P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 63', Steimbach A. 🟨,
  • 64', Bonifacio E. 🟨,
  • 68', Panaro M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
  • 68', Giampaoli R. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
  • 78', Bonifacio E. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
  • 80', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
  • 80', Schelotto N. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
  • 82', Bottari T. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
  • 83', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Martinez E. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
31.8%		Draw
31.6%		Independiente Rivadavia
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.41)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.09)    		 2.6 ↓
    (2.98)    		 5.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Independiente R (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury) Zalazar M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    18.07.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.01.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:3
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    11.03.2026 Banfield - Gimnasia La Plata 1:2 ✺
    01.03.2026 Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata 2:2 ✺
    25.02.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺
    20.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1
    15.02.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    11.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺
    02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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