Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	0.07
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
81% (277/343)	81% (340/421)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	0.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	0.00
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	0
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
29	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
81% (277/343)	81% (340/421)
Long passes
40% (17/42)	31% (14/45)
Passes in final third
76% (101/133)	64% (65/102)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.45
Throw-ins
21	9
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
50% (3/6)	67% (4/6)
Duels won
40	33
Clearances
21	34
Interceptions
6	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.05
Goals prevented
0.00	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Yamashita R. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Nakamura S. ⚽, Shiotani T. (A),
22', Jebali I. 🟨,
38', Miura G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
60', Abe S. 🟥,
65', Welton ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
67', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
72', Germain R. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
75', Nakamura S. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
80', Kurokawa K. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
80', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
80', Miura G. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
90+4', Okunuki K. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
53.7%

Draw
25.3%

Gamba Osaka
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	4.5 ↑ (3.8)	6.4% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
Hiroshima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M. (Health problems)
We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gamba Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

11.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1

08.12.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1

11.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2

30.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:1

10.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fujieda MYFC 5:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Reims 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata 4:5 ✺

05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

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      Relegation ~ J2 League