Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/343) | 81% (340/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/343) | 81% (340/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (101/133) | 64% (65/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Nakamura S. ⚽, Shiotani T. (A),
- 22', Jebali I. 🟨,
- 38', Miura G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 60', Abe S. 🟥,
- 65', Welton ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- 67', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 72', Germain R. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 75', Nakamura S. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 80', Kurokawa K. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 80', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 80', Miura G. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 90+4', Okunuki K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
53.7% | Draw
25.3% | Gamba Osaka
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.81) |
3.71 ↑
(3.7) |
4.5 ↑
(3.8) |
6.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
- Hiroshima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M.
(Health problems)
- We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
11.05.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
08.12.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
11.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
30.03.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
10.02.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
