Fluminense vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/11/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineSport 2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
70.6%
Draw
19%
Coritiba
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22.9% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 21.5% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.
  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coritiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coritiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fluminense - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.54)
    5.03
    (4.07)
    9
    (5.64)
    4.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fluminense - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 53.9%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fluminense is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Felipe Melo (Injury) Gustavo Apis (Injury) Jorge (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia (Injury) Thiago Dombroski (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Coritiba were as follows:
    24.07.2023 Coritiba - Fluminense 2:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    22.11.2023 Fluminense - São Paulo 1:0
    11.11.2023 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:1
    04.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Fluminense 1:2
    31.10.2023 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    11.11.2023 Coritiba - Cruzeiro 1:0
    05.11.2023 Coritiba - Goiás 0:1
    01.11.2023 Coritiba - Grêmio 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras431012:5710
    2Sao Paulo43106:2410
    3Corinthians42115:327
    4Bahia32104:227
    5Fluminense42115:417
    6Athletico-PR42114:317
    7Bragantino42113:307
    8Gremio42028:806
    9Chapecoense-SC31208:625
    10Mirassol31206:515
    11Flamengo RJ31114:404
    12Coritiba41125:6-14
    13Santos41126:8-24
    14Botafogo RJ31027:613
    15Vitoria31024:7-33
    16Remo40316:8-23
    17Atletico-MG40226:8-22
    18Internacional40223:6-32
    19Cruzeiro40224:9-52
    20Vasco40133:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet