Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 8
Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.76
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1620
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
918
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Long passes
36% (24/67)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
72% (130/180)51% (59/116)
Crosses
28% (5/18)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.30
Fouls
189
Tackles
67% (12/18)45% (13/29)
Duels won
5188
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.760.16
Goals prevented
-0.260.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Suzuki T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 69', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 73', Oh Se-Hun , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 73', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 79', Hayashi K. 🟨,
  • 80', Usami T. , Juan Alano ,
  • 89', Shimoda H. , Fujio S. ,
  • 89', Nishimura T. , Duke M. ,
  • 89', Mito R. , Kurata S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Machida Zelvia
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 30.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    3.03
    (3.08)
    2.46
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    24.02.2024 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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