Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+10', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo
38.5% | Draw
29.1% | Diocesano
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pueblonuevo's performance.Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diocesano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pueblonuevo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diocesano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pueblonuevo - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.9) |
3.19 ↑
(2.97) |
2.86 ↑
(2.4) |
8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Diocesano?
Pueblonuevo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Pueblonuevo?
Diocesano has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Diocesano were as follows:
28.09.2025
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
2:0
11.05.2025
Pueblonuevo
-
Diocesano
3:2
12.01.2025
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
6:1
18.02.2024
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
1:0
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
