Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (413/500) | 72% (175/243) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (413/500) | 72% (175/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (100/142) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Pitton M. (Own goal),
- 42', 1 - 1, Tarragona C. (Pen),
- 43', Amarfil M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Arce A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, Villalba I. (Own goal),
- 59', Studer S. 🟨,
- 61', Costa L. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 62', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
- 62', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Arce A. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 67', Retamar K. 🟨,
- 69', Amarfil M. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 73', Fragapane F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez M. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
- 80', Bonifacio E. ↓, Peinipil M. ↑,
- 80', Gomez L. ↓, Souto P. ↑,
- 86', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 90', Pitton M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe
50.4% | Draw
28.4% | Independiente Rivadavia
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.06) |
3.34 ↑
(2.96) |
4.52 ↑
(4.13) |
4.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Unión Santa Fe will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Unión Santa Fe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.
- Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Unión Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Unión Santa Fe?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
10.03.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:0
04.06.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Unión Santa Fe
0:1
24.02.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Independiente Rivadavia
4:1
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
